Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.226487 0.262852 0.303211 0.351332 0.407168 0.469940 0.545908
2025-05-25 0.162088 0.208447 0.265388 0.340518 0.437154 0.557435 0.718808
2025-06-01 0.134911 0.186198 0.253747 0.349330 0.481344 0.657647 0.911705
2025-06-08 0.114182 0.166915 0.240431 0.350559 0.511763 0.739790 1.088181
2025-06-15 0.100271 0.154054 0.232810 0.356763 0.547576 0.831294 1.287371
2025-06-22 0.086041 0.138177 0.217936 0.349121 0.560352 0.888734 1.441145
2025-06-29 0.075617 0.126442 0.207366 0.345932 0.578407 0.954840 1.614990
2025-07-06 0.068074 0.118170 0.200940 0.348056 0.604466 1.035657 1.821650
2025-07-13 0.064261 0.115545 0.203275 0.364782 0.656561 1.165021 2.126281
2025-07-20 0.060143 0.111777 0.203044 0.376714 0.701256 1.286114 2.430505
2025-07-27 0.056378 0.108118 0.202454 0.387683 0.745116 1.410109 2.754544
2025-08-03 0.052041 0.102815 0.198158 0.391033 0.774747 1.510611 3.045357
2025-08-10 0.047198 0.096058 0.190538 0.387442 0.791289 1.589570 3.307110
2025-08-17 0.041992 0.087956 0.179403 0.375564 0.789959 1.633517 3.504168
2025-08-24 0.039632 0.085367 0.178911 0.385291 0.833998 1.773928 3.920618
2025-08-31 0.036716 0.081232 0.174732 0.386647 0.860288 1.880082 4.276028
2025-09-07 0.034583 0.078522 0.173212 0.393495 0.899188 2.017368 4.717575
2025-09-14 0.031423 0.073141 0.165281 0.385060 0.902699 2.076891 4.988041
2025-09-21 0.028968 0.069075 0.159800 0.381540 0.917004 2.162223 5.329789
2025-09-28 0.027163 0.066315 0.156974 0.383884 0.945368 2.283231 5.773039
2025-10-05 0.026557 0.066361 0.160677 0.402348 1.014946 2.510079 6.508190
2025-10-12 0.025636 0.065522 0.162167 0.415520 1.072939 2.715348 7.214622
2025-10-19 0.024702 0.064540 0.163193 0.427630 1.129665 2.923952 7.956607